I ngā hāora wawe o te ata o te Taite i te wā o Beijing, i pānuitia e te Federal Reserve tana whakataunga reiti huamoni o Noema, me te whakatau ki te whakapiki ake i te awhe whāinga mō te reiti pūtea ā-motu mā te 75 ngā pūtake ki te 3.75%-4.00%, ko te tuawhā o ngā pikinga reiti koi 75 ngā pūtake mai i te marama o Hune, me te taumata reiti huamoni ka piki ake ki tētahi taumata teitei hou mai i te marama o Hanuere 2008. I kī te Heamana o te Fed, a Jerome Powell, i tētahi huihuinga pāpāho i muri mai, tera pea ka whakaitihia te tere o ngā pikinga reiti i te marama o Tīhema, engari ko te pikinga o ngā tumanakohanga pikinga mō te wā poto he āwangawanga, he wā wawe ki te whakamutu i ngā pikinga reiti, ā, ko te whāinga whakamutunga mō tana reiti kaupapa here tera pea he teitei ake i te mea i whakaarohia i mua. Mō ngā āwangawanga o waho mō te mōrearea o te hokinga whakamuri, i kī a Powell ahakoa e whakapono ana ia "tērā pea" ka eke te Fed ki tētahi taunga ngāwari, engari kua "whaiti" te huarahi. Tērā pea ka teitei ake i te mea i tumanakohia te whāinga reiti huamoni whakamutunga a Powell, ā, ko te kōrero pouri mō te taunga ngawari i riro hei tetahi o ngā take i mutu ai te hekenga o ngā hea o Amerika, i hoki whakamuri ngā utu koura o te ao, i hoki te tāra ki te tohu 112, i piki ake ngā hua here o Amerika ki te teitei e rua wiki te roa.

Haere mai ki te kite i te pānga o te pikinga reiti a te Federal Reserve ki te mākete miro, nā te nui o te pikinga reiti kua oti te keri i mua, i tukuna te whakataunga i muri i te taunga kino, kua piki ake ngā kirimana tuatahi e toru i te mākete o Amerika, ā, kua piki ake ētahi atu kirimana ki ngā taumata rerekē. Ā, tirohia anō ngā wā e rima mai i te pikinga reiti huamoni nui ake o tēnei tau, ko ngā hekenga miro ICE me te miro Zheng e whā ngā wā i piki ake ai, ko te mākete o tāwāhi i piki ake i te mākete o roto, ko te pikinga nui rawa atu i te mākete o tāwāhi i muri i tēnei pikinga reiti, ko te wā o New York e rua ngā rā karapīpiti o ngā tohu whakamutu, i heke tonu ki te 70 hēneti/pauna i te wāhanga tuatahi o te mākete, ā, e matapaetia ana ka puhoi te tere o ngā pikinga reiti huamoni i muri i te Fed i te marama o Noema, te iti o te hoko a te mākete ki te mākete me ētahi atu āhuatanga e pā ana ki te pikinga reiti o Hune me te mahere whakaiti i muri i te hekenga o te mākete. Ā, mai i te pikinga o te reiti a te Fed i muri i te wā roa o ngā au o te mākete, hei tāpiri atu ki te pikinga o Hūrae i te whai ake, ko te toenga o ngā pikinga reiti kua riro hei mea e matapaetia ana ka ngoikore te tono mākete, ka heke tonu ngā utu miro hei kaha matua.

Ko tēnei pikinga reiti Fed pea te pikinga reiti nui whakamutunga i roto i te rauna o nāianei, engari tera pea ka teitei ake te mutunga o te reiti huamoni i te mea i tumanakohia. E ai ki te taputapu Chicagoland CME Interest Rate Watch, e matapaetia ana e te mākete i tēnei wā ka mutu te huringa pikinga reiti o nāianei i te marama o Mei i te tau e tū mai nei, me te whāinga awhe reiti huamoni o te 5.00%-5.25% me te pikinga o te reiti mutunga waenga ki te 5.08%. Ka karohia e te Fed te hapa o te kore e whakakaha rawa, te puta wawe rānei i te whakakaha. Ko tēnei raupapa o ngā kōrero ki te mākete hei tuku i te tohu: te whakakaha ahakoa he puhoi, engari kaua hoki e ruarua mō tā mātou whakatau ki te whakapiki i ngā reiti huamoni. Ko te pikinga tata nei o ngā utu hinu mata me te kai, te ia pumau rānei, te pikinga teitei i te United States he uaua ki te whakaiti nui i roto i te wā poto, i te mea ka whakahaerehia e te United States ngā pōtitanga waenga-wā i tēnei marama, nō reira ka haere tonu te Fed ki te whakaatu i te whakatau ki te whakaiti i te pikinga, engari kāore hoki e taea te tuku i ngā raraunga ōhanga ki te hekenga koi o te āhuatanga, koinei pea te kōrero "he wetekina, he piri" o te teka. Ā, ko tōna pānga ki te mākete miro, e matapaetia ana ka iti iho te pēhanga ki raro i ngā pikinga reiti huamoni o mua, engari ka piki ake ngā reiti huamoni whānui, ka whakawhāitihia te pepa toenga, ā, he pehi tonu te whakapaunga whare noho mō te wā roa. Nō nā tata nei anō hoki i panuitia e te kāwanatanga o Amerika te $4.5 piriona hei āwhina i te whakaiti i ngā utu whakamahana mō ngā whānau o Amerika i tēnei hotoke, me te $9 piriona i roto i te pūtea a te kāwanatanga mai i te Ture Whakaiti Pikinga hei whakapai ake i te whai huatanga o te pūngao kāinga kia toa ai i te pōtitanga waenga-wā. I te mea ko te moni a te kāwanatanga e "toia ana ngā pōti," e matapaetia ana ka paku puhoi te ōhanga wā poto, engari he uaua ki te neke i te ia wā roa.
Pūtake pūrongo: Whatunga Kakahu