Ukususela kulo nyaka, ngenxa yobhubhane ophindaphindiweyo, ukonyuka kwengxabano yelizwe, ukunqongophala kwamandla, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ukuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wemali kunye nezinye izinto ezininzi ezinzima ziyaqhubeka nokuchaphazela ukuhla koqoqosho lwehlabathi ngokuthe ngcembe, uxinzelelo olukwicala leemfuno lubaluleke ngakumbi, umngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho unyuke kakhulu.
Ekupheleni kwekota yesithathu, ishishini lemveliso lehlabathi liye lancipha, i-JP Morgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) kaSeptemba ye-49.8, okokuqala ukusukela ngoJulayi 2020 iwele ngaphantsi komgca weRongkuk, apho i-oda ezintsha ziyi-47.7 kuphela, ukuzithemba kweshishini kwehle ukuya kwinqanaba elitsha kwiinyanga ezingama-28.
I-OECD Confidence Index ihlale kwi-96.5 ukusukela ngoJulayi, kwindawo yokuncitshiswa kwexabiso kangangeenyanga ezili-14 zilandelelana.
Isalathisi sebharometha yorhwebo lweempahla zehlabathi sihleli kwinqanaba eliyi-100 kwikota yesithathu, kodwa njengoko kulinganiswe yiNetherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB), ngaphandle kwezinto ezibangela amaxabiso, amanani orhwebo lwehlabathi ehle nge-0.9% ngoJulayi kwaye anyuke nge-0.7% kuphela ngo-Agasti ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo.
Ngenxa yokuqiniswa kokuguquguquka kwemali kunye nokulindela ukuhla koqoqosho, amaxabiso eemveliso zehlabathi ehla kancinci emva kuka-Agasti, kodwa inqanaba lexabiso lilonke lisekwinqanaba eliphezulu, kwaye i-IMF Energy Price Index isanyukile ngama-55.1% unyaka nonyaka ngoSeptemba.
Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso akukalawulwa ngokupheleleyo, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US lifikelele phezulu ngoJuni ngenxa yezinto ezifana nokunciphisa ukukhula kwemivuzo kwaye lehla kancinci kancinci, kodwa izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngo-Okthobha lisafikelela kwi-7.7%, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-eurozone liyi-10.7%, isiqingatha sezinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lamazwe angamalungu e-OECD sifikelele ngaphezulu kwe-10%.
Uqoqosho olukhulu lwaseTshayina lukwazile ukumelana nempembelelo yobhubhane kwaye imeko-bume yangaphandle inzima kwaye inzima, njengempembelelo yezinto ezininzi ngaphaya kokulindelekileyo, imizamo yokulungisa ilahleko. Njengoko iphakheji yemigaqo-nkqubo yokuzinzisa uqoqosho lwesizwe kunye namanyathelo omgaqo-nkqubo alandelelanayo eqala ukusebenza, amandla okubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kuqoqosho kunye nophuhliso angcono kunekota yesibini, ingakumbi imveliso kunye nemarike yemfuno yasekhaya iyaqhubeka nokufudumala, ibonisa ukuqina okuhle kophuhliso.
Kwikota ezintathu zokuqala, i-GDP yaseTshayina ikhule nge-3% unyaka nonyaka, izinga lokukhula kweepesenti ezingama-0.5 ngaphezulu kunesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka; intengiso iyonke yeempahla ezithengiswayo, ixabiso elongezelelweyo lemizi-mveliso yamashishini angaphezu kwe-0.7% kunye ne-3.9% unyaka nonyaka, izinga lokukhula kweepesenti ezili-1.4 kunye ne-0.5 ngaphezulu kunesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, ngokwahlukeneyo.
Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunye notyalo-mali ngokusisiseko kufikelele ekukhuleni okuzinzileyo, iikota ezintathu zokuqala zemveliso iyonke ethunyelwa ngaphandle eTshayina (ngeedola zaseMelika) kunye nokugqitywa kotyalo-mali lwezinto ezisisigxina (ngaphandle kwabalimi) zikhule nge-12.5% kunye ne-5.9% unyaka nonyaka ngokulandelelana, zenza igalelo elihle ekuzinziseni imveliso yezoqoqosho olukhulu.
Nangona isantya sokuvuselelwa koqoqosho olukhulu lwaseTshayina, kodwa ukukhula kwenzuzo yamashishini emizi-mveliso akukafiki kwinqanaba elihle, ukukhula kwemveliso phantsi koxinzelelo lokuba kubuye umva, isiseko sokuvuselelwa sisaza kuba namandla ngakumbi.
Kwikota ezintathu zokuqala, ukunikezelwa kwempahla kunye noxinzelelo lwemfuno kushishino lwempahla macala omabini, izalathisi zokusebenza eziphambili zinciphise izinga lokukhula. Emva kokungena kwixesha lokuthengisa eliphezulu ngoSeptemba, ii-odolo zemarike zinyukile, ezinye iindawo zezinga lokuqala kweshishini zinyukile, kodwa umkhwa wokusebenza kushishino ngokubanzi awukabonakali zimpawu zicacileyo zokwehla, imizamo yokuphucula nokubonisa uphuhliso lokuqina, ukuthintela okusebenzayo kunye nokusombulula imingeni yemingcipheko iseyeyona nto iphambili kushishino.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Novemba-26-2022
