Ngokusho kwesibikezelo sakamuva sokukhiqiza seNational Commodity Supply Company of Brazil (CONAB), ukukhiqizwa okuphelele kweBrazil ngo-2022/23 kulindeleke ukuthi kwehliswe kube ngamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.734, kwehle ngamathani angu-49,000 noma ngo-1.8% kusukela ngonyaka odlule (isibikezelo sikaMashi sika-2022 indawo kakotini yaseBrazil engamahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.665, kwenyuke ngo-4% kusukela ngonyaka odlule), ngenxa yesifunda esikhulu sikakotini iMato Grosso, indawo yokutshala ukotini kulindeleke ukuthi yehliswe ngamahektha angu-30,700 kusukela ngonyaka odlule. Ukukhiqizwa okuphelele kubuyekezwe kwehle ngokungabikho kokulungiswa kwezivuno.
Embikweni kaJanuwari 2023, i-CONAB ilindele ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini eBrazil ngo-2022/23 kufinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.973, okukhuphuke ngo-16.6% kusukela ngo-2021/22, okwesibili okuphezulu kakhulu okurekhodiwe, ngomehluko wamathani angu-239,000 phakathi kwale mibiko emibili. Uma kuqhathaniswa ne-CONAB, i-Brazilian Cotton Growers Association (ABRAPA) inethemba elikhulu. Muva nje, uMarcelo Duarte, umqondisi wobudlelwano bamazwe ngamazwe be-ABRAPA, uthe indawo entsha yokutshala ukotini eBrazil ngo-2023 kulindeleke ukuthi ibe amahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.652, okuwukwenyuka okuncane okungu-1% unyaka nonyaka; isivuno kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ku-122 kg/acre, ukwenyuka okungu-17% unyaka nonyaka; ukukhiqizwa kulindeleke ukuthi kube ku-3.018 million amathani, okwenyuka cishe ngo-18% unyaka nonyaka.
Kodwa-ke, abanye abathengisi bekotoni bamazwe ngamazwe, izinkampani zokuhweba kanye nabathumeli bekotoni baseBrazil bahlulela ngokuthi ukukhiqizwa kokotini kwe-ABRAPA ka-2022/23 noma ukulinganisa ngokweqile, isidingo sokukhipha amanzi ngendlela efanele, ngezizathu ezintathu eziyinhloko, okuhlanganisa okulandelayo:
Okokuqala, akuyona indawo yokutshala ukotini eMato Grosso State kuphela engafinyelelanga umgomo, esinye isifunda esikhulu esikhiqiza ukotini eBahia State ngenxa yesimo sezulu, ukuncintisana kokudla nokotini ngomhlaba, ukwanda kwezimali zokutshala ukotini, ukungaqiniseki okuphezulu mayelana nembuyiselo kanye nezinye izici indawo yokutshala nayo iphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe (abalimi bandisa intshiseko yobhontshisi ohlangothini oluphezulu).
Okwesibili, isivuno sikakotini saseBrazil sika-2022/23 kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke ngo-17% unyaka nonyaka yisihluthulelo sesenzakalo sika-El Niño senzeka lapho izindawo eziyinhloko ezikhiqiza ukotini eBrazil “ziyimvula eningi yasebusika, imvula eningi ngesikhathi sokukhula kokotini” izici, okukhuthaza ukukhula kokotini ngaphansi kwamazinga okushisa aphezulu. Kodwa ngokombono wamanje, imvula encane esifundeni esisempumalanga saseBrazil, isomiso esiningi, noma ukuhudula imilenze yokukhula kokotini.
Okwesithathu, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe kanye nezinye izintengo zamandla zonyaka ka-2022/23, umanyolo kanye nezinye izinto zezolimo ukuze kwandiswe kancane kancane izindleko zokulima ukotini, izinga lokuphathwa kwabalimi baseBrazil/abalimi, okokufaka okungokwenyama namakhemikhali noma isivuno sikakotini esibuthakathaka, esingesihle.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Ephreli-19-2023
