Zvichienderana nefungidziro yekugadzirwa kwezvirimwa yeNational Commodity Supply Company yeBrazil (CONAB), huwandu hwese hwezvirimwa zveBrazil muna 2022/23 hunotarisirwa kudzikiswa kusvika pamatani mamiriyoni 2.734, kudzikiswa nematani zviuru makumi mana nezvipfumbamwe kana 1.8% kubva mugore rapfuura (fungidziro yeKurume 2022 nzvimbo yedonje yeBrazil yemahekita mamiriyoni 1.665, yakakwira ne4% kubva mugore rapfuura), nekuda kwenzvimbo huru yedonje yeMato Grosso, nzvimbo yekudyara donje yenyika inotarisirwa kudzikiswa nemahekita zviuru makumi matatu nemazana manomwe kubva mugore rapfuura. Kugadzirwa kwese kwakagadziridzwa kudzikiswa pasina kugadziriswa kwegoho.
Mumushumo waNdira 2023, CONAB inotarisira kuti kugadzirwa kwedonje muBrazil muna 2022/23 kuchasvika matani mamiriyoni 2.973, zvichikwira ne16.6% kubva mugore ra2021/22, riri rechipiri pakukura, nemusiyano wematani zviuru mazana maviri nemakumi matatu nemapfumbamwe (239,000) pakati pemishumo miviri iyi. Zvichienzaniswa neCONAB, Brazilian Cotton Growers Association (ABRAPA) ine tariro huru. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, Marcelo Duarte, director wezvekudyidzana kwenyika dzepasi rose weABRAPA, akati nzvimbo itsva yekudyara donje muBrazil muna 2023 inotarisirwa kuva mahekita mamiriyoni 1.652, kuwedzera kudiki kwe1% pagore; goho rinotarisirwa kuva pa122 kg/eka, kuwedzera kwe17% pagore; kugadzirwa kunotarisirwa kuva pa3.018 miriyoni matani, kuwedzera kweinenge 18% gore negore.
Zvisinei, vamwe vatengesi vedonje vepasi rose, makambani ekutengeserana nevatengesi vedonje vekuBrazil vanoti kugadzirwa kwedonje reABRAPA ra2022/23 kana kuti kunyanya kufungidzirwa, kudiwa kwekusvina mvura nemazvo, nekuda kwezvikonzero zvitatu zvikuru, zvinosanganisira zvinotevera:
Chekutanga, kwete nzvimbo yekudyara donje yeMato Grosso State chete isina kusvika pachinangwa, imwe nzvimbo huru inobereka donje yeBahia State nekuda kwemamiriro ekunze, makwikwi ekudyara nedonje, kuwedzera kwezvinoshandiswa pakudyara donje, kusava nechokwadi pamusoro pezvibereko nezvimwe zvinhu zvinoita kuti nzvimbo yekudyara donje ive yakaderera pane zvaitarisirwa (varimi vanowedzera kufarira soya zvakanyanya).
Chechipiri, goho redonje rekuBrazil ra2022/23 rinotarisirwa kuwedzera ne17% gore negore ndicho chinhu chikuru chakakonzera El Niño apo nzvimbo huru dzinogadzira donje muBrazil dziri "mvura yakawanda yechando, mvura yakawanda munguva yekukura kwedonje", zvichibatsira kukura kwedonje pasi pekupisa kwakanyanya. Asi kubva pamaonero azvino, dunhu rekumabvazuva reBrazil harina mvura yakawanda, harina mvura yakawanda, kana kuti harina kusimba zvakanyanya, uye hazvizokonzere kukura kwedonje.
Chechitatu, mitengo yemafuta asina kucheneswa nezvimwe zvekushandisa pakurima mugore ra2022/23, fetereza nezvimwe zvekushandisa pakurima zvichawedzera mitengo yekurima donje, varimi vekuBrazil/vatungamiri vevarimi, zvinoshandisa pakugadzira nemakemikari kana goho redonje risina simba, risina kunaka.
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-19-2023