Ngokwengxelo yamva nje yemveliso yeNkampani yeSizwe yoThengiso lweeMpahla yaseBrazil (iCONAB), imveliso iyonke yaseBrazil ngo-2022/23 kulindeleke ukuba yehle iye kwiitoni ezi-2.734 ezigidi, yehle ngeetoni ezingama-49,000 okanye i-1.8% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo (uqikelelo lukaMatshi ngo-2022 indawo yomqhaphu yaseBrazil eyi-1.665 yezigidi zeehektare, inyuke nge-4% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo), ngenxa yommandla ophambili womqhaphu eMato Grosso, kulindeleke ukuba indawo yokutyala umqhaphu yelizwe incitshiswe ngeehektare ezingama-30,700 ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo. Imveliso iyonke ihlaziywe yehla ngaphandle kokulungiswa kwesivuno.
Kwingxelo kaJanuwari 2023, iCONAB ilindele ukuba imveliso yomqhaphu yaseBrazil ngo-2022/23 ifikelele kwi-2.973 yezigidi zeetoni, inyuke nge-16.6% ukusuka ku-2021/22, eyesibini ngobukhulu kwirekhodi, kunye nomahluko weetoni ezingama-239,000 phakathi kwezi ngxelo zimbini. Xa kuthelekiswa neCONAB, iBrazilian Cotton Growers Association (ABRAPA) inethemba elikhulu. Kutshanje, uMarcelo Duarte, umlawuli wobudlelwane bamazwe ngamazwe kwi-ABRAPA, uthe indawo entsha yokutyala umqhaphu eBrazil ngo-2023 kulindeleke ukuba ibe yi-1.652 yezigidi zeehektare, ukunyuka okuncinci kwe-1% ngonyaka; isivuno kulindeleke ukuba sibe kwi-122 kg/acre, ukunyuka kwe-17% ngonyaka; imveliso kulindeleke ukuba ibe kwi-3.018 yezigidi zeetoni, ukunyuka malunga ne-18% ngonyaka.
Nangona kunjalo, abanye abathengisi bekotoni bamazwe ngamazwe, iinkampani zorhwebo kunye nabathengisi bekotoni baseBrazil bagweba ukuba imveliso yekotoni ye-ABRAPA ka-2022/23 okanye uqikelelo olugqithisileyo, imfuneko yokucofa amanzi ngokufanelekileyo, ngezizathu ezintathu eziphambili, kuquka ezi zilandelayo:
Okokuqala, ayingommandla wokulima umqhaphu waseMato Grosso State kuphela ongazange ufikelele usukelo, omnye ummandla ophambili ovelisa umqhaphu waseBahia State ngenxa yemozulu, ukhuphiswano lokutya nomqhaphu ngomhlaba, ukunyuka kwengeniso yokutyala umqhaphu, ukungaqiniseki okuphezulu malunga nembuyekezo kunye nezinye izinto indawo yokuhlwayela iphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe (abalimi bandisa umdla wesoya kwicala eliphezulu).
Okwesibini, isivuno somqhaphu waseBrazil sika-2022/23 siqikelelwa ukuba siza kunyuka nge-17% unyaka nonyaka, nto leyo ebangele ukuba kubekho i-El Niño xa iindawo eziphambili ezivelisa umqhaphu eBrazil “ziimvula ezininzi zasebusika, imvula eninzi ngexesha lokukhula komqhaphu”, nto leyo ekhuthaza ukukhula komqhaphu phantsi kwamaqondo obushushu aphezulu. Kodwa ngokombono wangoku, imvula encinci kummandla wasempuma waseBrazil, imbalela engaphezulu, okanye ukutsala imilenze yokukhula komqhaphu.
Okwesithathu, amaxabiso eoyile ekrwada kunye namanye amandla onyaka ka-2022/23, izichumisi kunye nezinye izixhobo zolimo ukuze konyuswe iindleko zokulima umqhaphu, inqanaba lolawulo lwabalimi baseBrazil/abalimi, igalelo lomzimba kunye neekhemikhali okanye isivuno somqhaphu esibuthathaka, esingathandekiyo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Epreli-19-2023
