Malinga ndi zomwe zanenedwa posachedwapa ndi National Commodity Supply Company of Brazil (CONAB), kuchuluka kwa ulimi wa Brazil mu 2022/23 kukuyembekezeka kuchepetsedwa kufika pa matani 2.734 miliyoni, kutsika ndi matani 49,000 kapena 1.8% kuchokera chaka chatha (zonenedweratu za March 2022 kuti dera la thonje la Brazil la mahekitala 1.665 miliyoni, kukwera ndi 4% kuchokera chaka chatha), chifukwa cha dera lalikulu la thonje la Mato Grosso, dera lobzala thonje la boma likuyembekezeka kuchepetsedwa ndi mahekitala 30,700 kuchokera chaka chatha. Kuchuluka kwa ulimi kunasinthidwa kutsika popanda kusintha kulikonse kwa zokolola.
Mu lipoti la Januwale 2023, CONAB ikuyembekeza kuti kupanga thonje ku Brazil mu 2022/23 kufika pa matani 2.973 miliyoni, kukwera ndi 16.6% kuchokera mu 2021/22, lachiwiri pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri, ndi kusiyana kwa matani 239,000 pakati pa malipoti awiriwa. Poyerekeza ndi CONAB, bungwe la Brazilian Cotton Growers Association (ABRAPA) lili ndi chiyembekezo chachikulu. Posachedwapa, Marcelo Duarte, mkulu wa ubale wapadziko lonse wa ABRAPA, adati malo atsopano obzala thonje ku Brazil mu 2023 akuyembekezeka kukhala mahekitala 1.652 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka pang'ono kwa 1% pachaka; zokolola zikuyembekezeka kukhala pa 122 kg/ekala, kuwonjezeka kwa 17% pachaka; kupanga kukuyembekezeka kukhala pa matani 3.018 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka kwa pafupifupi 18% pachaka.
Komabe, amalonda ena apadziko lonse lapansi a thonje, makampani ogulitsa ndi ogulitsa thonje aku Brazil akuona kuti kupanga thonje la ABRAPA la 2022/23 kapena kuyerekezera mopitirira muyeso, kufunikira kofinya madzi moyenera, pazifukwa zitatu zazikulu, kuphatikizapo izi:
Choyamba, sikuti malo obzala thonje a ku Mato Grosso okha ndi omwe sanakwaniritse cholinga chawo, koma dera lina lalikulu lolima thonje ku Bahia State chifukwa cha nyengo, mpikisano wa chakudya ndi thonje pa malo, zinthu zobzala thonje zikukwera, kusatsimikizika kwakukulu pa phindu ndi zina zomwe malo obzala thonje nawonso ndi otsika kuposa momwe amayembekezera (alimi akukulitsa chidwi cha soya kumbali yayikulu).
Chachiwiri, zokolola za thonje za ku Brazil za 2022/23 zikuyembekezeredwa kukwera ndi 17% chaka ndi chaka ndi chinsinsi cha vuto la El Niño chomwe chinachitika pamene madera akuluakulu opanga thonje ku Brazil ndi "mvula yambiri yozizira, mvula yambiri nthawi yolima thonje", zomwe zimathandiza kukula kwa thonje pansi pa kutentha kwambiri. Koma malinga ndi momwe zilili pano, chigawo chakum'mawa kwa Brazil sichinagwe mvula yambiri, chilala chochuluka, kapena kulepheretsa kukula kwa thonje.
Chachitatu, mitengo ya mafuta osakonzedwa ndi mphamvu zina za chaka cha 2022/23, feteleza ndi zipangizo zina zaulimi kuti ziwonjezere pang'onopang'ono mtengo wolima thonje, mulingo wa kasamalidwe ka alimi aku Brazil/alimi, zinthu zakuthupi ndi mankhwala kapena zokolola zochepa za thonje zosafunikira.
Nthawi yotumizira: Epulo-19-2023
